Risk-Based Project Decisions in Situations of High Complexity and Deep Uncertainty
| 主要作者: | |
|---|---|
| 企业作者: | |
| 总结: | XXVII, 382 p. 94 illus., 5 illus. in color. text |
| 语言: | 英语 |
| 出版: |
Cham :
Springer Nature Switzerland : Imprint: Springer,
2024.
|
| 版: | 1st ed. 2024. |
| 主题: | |
| 在线阅读: | https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-56988-3 |
| 格式: | 电子 图书 |
书本目录:
- Introduction
- PRM and types of project uncertainties
- Overview of DMDU methodologies
- Project complexity concept
- Decision-making framework
- Selection of project options in situations of deep uncertainty
- Development of project schedule and cost contingencies in complex projects
- Cost escalation and exchange-rate volatility risk assessment methods
- High-level overview of simplistic Monte Carlo and parametric risk assessment methods
- Case study 1: applications of a tradition PRM (scoring method)
- Case study 2: applications of “linear Monte Carlo” methodology
- Case study 3: applications of “non-linear Monte Carlo” methodology
- Case study 4: selection of project options (a few “futures”)
- Case study 5: selection of project options (multiple “futures”)
- Case study 6: applications of cost escalation and exchange-rate volatility modelling methods
- Conclusion.