Risk-Based Project Decisions in Situations of High Complexity and Deep Uncertainty
| Hovedforfatter: | |
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| Institution som forfatter: | |
| Summary: | XXVII, 382 p. 94 illus., 5 illus. in color. text |
| Sprog: | engelsk |
| Udgivet: |
Cham :
Springer Nature Switzerland : Imprint: Springer,
2024.
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| Udgivelse: | 1st ed. 2024. |
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| Online adgang: | https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-56988-3 |
| Format: | Electronisk Bog |
Indholdsfortegnelse:
- Introduction
- PRM and types of project uncertainties
- Overview of DMDU methodologies
- Project complexity concept
- Decision-making framework
- Selection of project options in situations of deep uncertainty
- Development of project schedule and cost contingencies in complex projects
- Cost escalation and exchange-rate volatility risk assessment methods
- High-level overview of simplistic Monte Carlo and parametric risk assessment methods
- Case study 1: applications of a tradition PRM (scoring method)
- Case study 2: applications of “linear Monte Carlo” methodology
- Case study 3: applications of “non-linear Monte Carlo” methodology
- Case study 4: selection of project options (a few “futures”)
- Case study 5: selection of project options (multiple “futures”)
- Case study 6: applications of cost escalation and exchange-rate volatility modelling methods
- Conclusion.