Expert Judgement in Risk and Decision Analysis

Expert Judgement in Risk and Decision Analysis

Bibliographic Details
Corporate Author: SpringerLink (Online service)
Other Authors: Hanea, Anca M. (Editor), Nane, Gabriela F. (Editor), Bedford, Tim (Editor), French, Simon (Editor)
Summary:IX, 503 p. 138 illus., 88 illus. in color.
text
Language:English
Published: Cham : Springer International Publishing : Imprint: Springer, 2021.
Edition:1st ed. 2021.
Series:International Series in Operations Research & Management Science, 293
Subjects:
Operations research.
Management science.
Operations Research and Decision Theory.
Operations Research, Management Science.
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-46474-5
Format: Electronic Book
Table of Contents:
  • Chapter 1. Introduction and Overview of Structured Expert Judgement
  • Chapter 2. Recent advances in the elicitation of uncertainty distributions from experts for multinomial probabilities
  • Chapter 3. Are Performance Weights Beneficial? Investigating the Random Expert Hypothesis
  • Chapter 4. Customized Structural Elicitation
  • Chapter 5. Bayesian Modelling of Dependence between Experts: some Comparisons with the Cooke Model
  • Chapter 6. Three-Point Lifetime Distribution Elicitation for Maintenance Optimization
  • Chapter 7. Adversarial Risk Analysis as a Decomposition Method for Structural Expert Judgement Modelling
  • Chapter 8. A Number of Things
  • Chapter 9. The Classical Model: the Early Years
  • Chapter 10. An in-depth perspective on the Classical Model
  • Chapter 11. Building on Foundations: an interview with Roger Cooke
  • Chapter 12. Scientific advice: a personal perspective in dealing with uncertainty. An interview with Prof Dame Anne Glover
  • Chapter 13. Characteristics of a Process for Subjective Probability Elicitation
  • Chapter 14. Developing Training Courses for Structured Expert Judgement
  • Chapter 15. Expert judgment for geological hazards in New Zealand
  • Chapter 16. Using the Classical Model for source attribution of pathogen caused illnesses
  • Chapter 17. Reminiscences of a Classical Model expert elicitation facilitator
  • Chapter 18. Dealing with imperfect elicitation results
  • Chapter 19. Structured Expert Judgement for decisions on medicines policy and management
  • Chapter 20. Structured Expert Judgement Issues in a Supply Chain Cyber Risk Management System
  • Chapter 21. Structured Expert Judgement in adversarial risk assessment: An application of the Classical Model for assessing geo-political risk in the insurance underwriting industry
  • Chapter 22. Expert Judgement in Terrorism Risk Assessment
  • Chapter 23. Decision-making in early internationalization: a structured expert judgment approach.

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