书本目录:
  • Chapter 1. Introduction­
  • Chapter 2. Stochastic population forecasting: A Bayesian approach based on evaluation by experts
  • Chapter 3. Using expert elicitation to build long-term projection assumptions
  • Chapter 4. Post-Transitional Demography and Convergence: What can we Learn from Half a Century of World Population Prospects?
  • Chapter 5. Projecting Proportionate Age–Specific Fertility Rates via Bayesian Skewed Processes
  • Chapter 6. A Three-component Approach to Model and Forecast Age-at-death Distributions
  • Chapter 7. Alternative forecasts of Danish life expectancy
  • Chapter 8. Coherent mortality forecasting with standards: low mortality serves as a guide
  • Chapter 9. European mortality forecasts: Are the targets still moving?
  • Chapter 10. Bayesian disaggregated forecasts: Internal migration in Iceland
  • Chapter 11. Forecasting origin-destination-age-sex migration flow tables with multiplicative components
  • Chapter 12. New Approaches to the Conceptualization and Measurementof Age and Ageing.