Prediction of oil production rate in multiple wells of a producing field applying combined deep–learning and optimization techniques; Fuel; Vol. 406, pt. A
| Parent link: | Fuel.— .— Amsterdam: Elsevier Science Publishing Company Inc. Vol. 406, pt. A.— 2026.— Article number 136847, 14 p. |
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| Other Authors: | , , , , |
| Summary: | Title screen Accurate prediction of oil production rate (OPR) is crucial for optimizing reservoir management and maximizing production efficiency. This study develops high-accuracy predictive models for OPR using well performance data from three wells in Norway’s Volve field. The key objective was to create a robust, generalizable model that leverages deep learning and optimization techniques to overcome the limitations of traditional methods. The methodology involved preprocessing the data with wavelet denoising and normalization. A hybrid non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm and long short-term memory (LSTM) model was used for feature selection, identifying seven key input parameters. Two deep learning models, LSTM and a convolutional neural network, were then hybridized with particle swarm optimization and the cuckoo optimization algorithm (COA) to fine-tune their hyperparameters. The results showed that the hybrid LSTM-COA model generated superior performance, achieving the lowest prediction error on the blind test well data (root-mean-square error = 2.1534 m3/day). Shapley additive explanation (SHAP) analysis identified bottomhole temperature as the most influential feature. This study’s novelty lies in integrating multi-well data, hybrid optimization, and explainable artificial intelligence into a single workflow, offering a practical tool for fast and reliable OPR forecasting to guide field development and optimize production in mature reservoirs Текстовый файл AM_Agreement |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
2026
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| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fuel.2025.136847 |
| Format: | Electronic Book Chapter |
| KOHA link: | https://koha.lib.tpu.ru/cgi-bin/koha/opac-detail.pl?biblionumber=686549 |
| Summary: | Title screen Accurate prediction of oil production rate (OPR) is crucial for optimizing reservoir management and maximizing production efficiency. This study develops high-accuracy predictive models for OPR using well performance data from three wells in Norway’s Volve field. The key objective was to create a robust, generalizable model that leverages deep learning and optimization techniques to overcome the limitations of traditional methods. The methodology involved preprocessing the data with wavelet denoising and normalization. A hybrid non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm and long short-term memory (LSTM) model was used for feature selection, identifying seven key input parameters. Two deep learning models, LSTM and a convolutional neural network, were then hybridized with particle swarm optimization and the cuckoo optimization algorithm (COA) to fine-tune their hyperparameters. The results showed that the hybrid LSTM-COA model generated superior performance, achieving the lowest prediction error on the blind test well data (root-mean-square error = 2.1534 m3/day). Shapley additive explanation (SHAP) analysis identified bottomhole temperature as the most influential feature. This study’s novelty lies in integrating multi-well data, hybrid optimization, and explainable artificial intelligence into a single workflow, offering a practical tool for fast and reliable OPR forecasting to guide field development and optimize production in mature reservoirs Текстовый файл AM_Agreement |
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| DOI: | 10.1016/j.fuel.2025.136847 |