Mathematical Modeling of Operational Reliability of Mine Lifting Equipment Based on Censored Data; Mathematics; Vol. 14, iss. 4

Detaylı Bibliyografya
Parent link:Mathematics.— .— Basel: MDPI AG
Vol. 14, iss. 4.— 2026.— Article number 716, 43 p.
Diğer Yazarlar: Zadkov D. A. Denis Aleksandrovich, Martyushev N. V. Nikita Vladimirovich, Malozemov B. V. Boris Vitaljevich, Demin A. Yu. Anton Yurievich, Pogrebnoy A. V. Aleksandr Vladimirovich, Kuleshova E. E. Elizaveta Evgenjevna, Valuev D. V. Denis Viktorovich
Özet:Title screen
In this study, a comprehensive mathematical method for modeling the operational reliability of mine hoisting equipment under conditions of incomplete and heavily censored data is developed. The analyzed dataset includes 259 observations collected over a five-year period for six critical components, with the overall level of censoring reaching 62% and exceeding 70% for long life mechanical subsystems. Considering right, left, and interval censoring, the paper proposes a unified statistical procedure that combines empirical estimation of failure rates with parametric identification using Weibull, exponential, normal, and lognormal distributions. Model parameters are estimated using censored data–aware fitting procedures, while model selection is performed based on likelihood-based criteria, supplemented by correlation analysis to assess agreement between empirical and fitted reliability curves. The methodology is implemented computationally in the Mathcad Prime environment and is supplemented with mathematical tools for reconstructing survival curves, analyzing parameter sensitivity, and evaluating robustness at different censoring levels. In addition, an economic optimization model is formulated to determine cost-effective maintenance intervals by minimizing an integral functional that accounts for preventive maintenance, repair, and downtime costs. The results demonstrate that the proposed approach provides stable reliability estimates and reliable forecast intervals, enabling the construction of generalized life cycle curves for individual subsystems. The study establishes a rigorous mathematical basis for the transition from fixed-interval maintenance to adaptive, reliability-oriented maintenance strategies in industrial mine hoisting systems
Текстовый файл
Dil:İngilizce
Baskı/Yayın Bilgisi: 2026
Konular:
Online Erişim:https://doi.org/10.3390/math14040716
Materyal Türü: Elektronik Kitap Bölümü
KOHA link:https://koha.lib.tpu.ru/cgi-bin/koha/opac-detail.pl?biblionumber=685388

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330 |a In this study, a comprehensive mathematical method for modeling the operational reliability of mine hoisting equipment under conditions of incomplete and heavily censored data is developed. The analyzed dataset includes 259 observations collected over a five-year period for six critical components, with the overall level of censoring reaching 62% and exceeding 70% for long life mechanical subsystems. Considering right, left, and interval censoring, the paper proposes a unified statistical procedure that combines empirical estimation of failure rates with parametric identification using Weibull, exponential, normal, and lognormal distributions. Model parameters are estimated using censored data–aware fitting procedures, while model selection is performed based on likelihood-based criteria, supplemented by correlation analysis to assess agreement between empirical and fitted reliability curves. The methodology is implemented computationally in the Mathcad Prime environment and is supplemented with mathematical tools for reconstructing survival curves, analyzing parameter sensitivity, and evaluating robustness at different censoring levels. In addition, an economic optimization model is formulated to determine cost-effective maintenance intervals by minimizing an integral functional that accounts for preventive maintenance, repair, and downtime costs. The results demonstrate that the proposed approach provides stable reliability estimates and reliable forecast intervals, enabling the construction of generalized life cycle curves for individual subsystems. The study establishes a rigorous mathematical basis for the transition from fixed-interval maintenance to adaptive, reliability-oriented maintenance strategies in industrial mine hoisting systems 
336 |a Текстовый файл 
461 1 |t Mathematics  |c Basel  |n MDPI AG 
463 1 |t Vol. 14, iss. 4  |v Article number 716, 43 p.  |d 2026 
610 1 |a reliability analysis 
610 1 |a censored data 
610 1 |a mine hoisting equipment 
610 1 |a Weibull distribution 
610 1 |a failure rate 
610 1 |a life cycle modeling 
610 1 |a predictive maintenance 
610 1 |a service optimization 
610 1 |a operational risk assessment 
610 1 |a электронный ресурс 
610 1 |a труды учёных ТПУ 
701 1 |a Zadkov  |b D. A.  |g Denis Aleksandrovich 
701 1 |a Martyushev  |b N. V.  |c specialist in the field of material science  |c Associate Professor of Tomsk Polytechnic University, Candidate of technical sciences  |f 1981-  |g Nikita Vladimirovich  |9 16754 
701 1 |a Malozemov  |b B. V.  |g Boris Vitaljevich 
701 1 |a Demin  |b A. Yu.  |c specialist in the field of Informatics and computer engineering  |c Associate Professor of Tomsk Polytechnic University, candidate of technical sciences  |f 1973-  |g Anton Yurievich  |9 17327 
701 1 |a Pogrebnoy  |b A. V.  |c specialist in the field of Informatics and computer engineering  |c Associate Professor of Tomsk Polytechnic University, candidate of technical sciences  |f 1973-  |g Aleksandr Vladimirovich  |9 17310 
701 1 |a Kuleshova  |b E. E.  |g Elizaveta Evgenjevna 
701 1 |a Valuev  |b D. V.  |c specialist in the field of metal working  |c Associate Professor of Yurga technological Institute of Tomsk Polytechnic University, Candidate of technical sciences  |f 1980-  |g Denis Viktorovich  |9 16748 
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